A Survey and Identification of Drought Effects on Rural Households of Semirom County: A Case Study of Sivar Village

Abstract

  This stusy aims at identifying the most important drought effects of recent years on the people’s life in Sivar village of Semirom county. The statistical society includes 650 residents of the village; among them, by using Morgan and Krejcy table, 245 people are selected as the statistical samples. Data collection tool is questionnaire, the validity of which is estimated by the value of Cronbach’s Alpha over 81 percent. Analyzing the statistics and data is carried out in different statistical methods including factor analysis. Study results show that the most important effects of drought in the studied village are found in the category of production and economic factors (e.g. decrease in income, decrease in yields of production, increase in costs of production, increased environmental risks, declined motivations of agricultural investments, and decrease in agricultural job opportunities), explaining about 24.46 percent of the variance; also, environmental and socio-cultural factors are placed in the next ranks by explaining 23.43 and 16.84 percent of the variance, respectively      

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