Climatic Drought and its Locational-Spatial Consequences for Rural Areas: A Case Study of Gharaposhtlooye Bala Subdistrict, Zanjan County

Abstract

The present study examines the climate conditions of the region and extracts drought years to study their relationship with rural economy. Climate indices such as SPI, PNPI and DR are used to calculate drought. The present study is an applied one with an analytical approach that examines the relationship between precipitation, wheat production yield, income and demographic movements. The results indicate that for one millimeter decrease in precipitation the wheat yield declines 3 Kilograms per hectare which leads to decline in farmers' income. Also for one centimeter decline in precipitation the number of migrants will increase by 4. All the relationships are statistically significant.

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