Document Type : Original Article
Authors
1
Associate Professor of Agricultural Economics, College of Agriculture, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran.
2
Assistant Professor of Agricultural Economics, Darab College of Agriculture and Natural Resources, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran.
Abstract
Abstract
Introduction
Global warming has been a significant issue in recent decades, with greenhouse gas emissions, particularly carbon dioxide, being a major contributor to climate change. Understanding the factors influencing carbon dioxide emissions is crucial for developing effective strategies to mitigate greenhouse gases and address global warming. This study aims to identify the factors affecting carbon dioxide emissions, focusing on the agricultural sector.
Materials and Methods
Data from 1990 to 2022 were collected for analysis. Stationarity of the variables was assessed, and short-term and long-term patterns were estimated using the ARDL model.
Results and Discussion
The study found that crop, livestock, and forest production, as well as energy consumption and population growth, have a significant positive impact on carbon dioxide emissions in both the short and long term. While temperature does not affect emissions in the short term, an increase in temperature over the long term can lead to a reduction in emissions. Higher temperatures may stimulate environmental policies, technological advancements, and changes in consumer behavior, resulting in lower emissions. Additionally, increased rainfall is associated with reduced carbon dioxide emissions in both the short and long term.
Conclusions
The findings highlight the importance of climate and water resources in managing greenhouse gas emissions and promoting sustainable development in Iran. To reduce carbon dioxide emissions, enhancing production efficiency in crop, livestock, and forestry sectors through modern and low-carbon technologies is recommended. Optimizing energy consumption, promoting renewable energy sources, and implementing population planning strategies can also help mitigate emissions. Supporting environmental policies, raising public awareness about climate change, and conserving water resources are essential for reducing emissions. Sustainable agricultural practices and efficient use of atmospheric precipitation are key for agricultural development.
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